Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
It's not a cooler if he only overbets value on the river and you haven't observed him turn busted draws into bluffs on the river.
You are losing to:
6 combos of KQ
3 combos of KK
2 combos of QJ
1 combo of QQ
and beating
8 combos of AQ which may or may not be calling 2 streets with a K on board
So what are you really beating that overbet shoves the river? You've only put in 23% of effective stacks at this point. On this board runout I am puke folding as your relative hand strength is not that strong.
I really like your breakdown of Villain's range and how Villain could have played this hand. This, along with other posts, provides solid reasoning behind making a tough fold.
After reading your responses, I have a couple questions about how we could play this hand AS VILLAIN with busted flushes or hands that we can effectively turn into bluffs (AQ, Q10, A10, 9/10). For instance, if we can comfortably defend with the aforementioned hands AND:
1. We are heads up on the river
2. We held hands that could conceivably call pre, flop, and turn
3. We know you are a thinking player
4. We know your stack off range here is near nutted (many of you seem to advocate folding Jacks full here)
Why can't we profitably turn many of our hands into bluffs as well as overbet shove Queens full? I mean sure your betting range is strong on the flop and turn here, but if we know you can fold this river, aren't we able to use this to our advantage?
I could see how that play might look like pure spew, but if I know you're capable of folding Jacks full here, won't people put you in tough spots on most ugly runouts?
Forgive me if this post sounds like a bunch of nonsense, but it has been a while since I've looked over a hand history. All feedback is greatly appreciated (especially from Mr. Buzz and GG).
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