Quote:
Originally Posted by moxterite
But overcards without a flush draw will fold to a tiny bet. You've got 9 combos of sets. 4 combos of T8s...but it's multiway so some of them might have T8o. Maybe 15 combinations of flopped flushes, more than half of which you're drawing dead against. So you're losing to ~30 combinations of hands, which any one of the three opponents could easily have (give or take per opponent). Not only that but when you bet, especially as much as half pot, what hands that you beat will actually call you? The Ace of spades, probably the King of spades, and a Ten. Anything else will jettison their hand at warp speed.
Thanks for your comments/
I guess I can give you the point that flop bet was too large. But I still like the idea of a flop bet, say 1/3rd pot?
Doing the math now that the hand is over..
I get (generous IMO) 21 combos on flop that beat us: A9ss, A7ss, A6ss, A5ss, A3ss, A2ss
KQss, K9ss
Q9ss
76ss, 75ss, 65ss
All sets (9)
To8o we're actually marginally ahead of/flipping
The few other possible combos assume would 3bet pre (AKss, AQss)
I get 61 combos on flop that we're ahead "hands that I beat that would call" flop bet and continue: AsJx(2), As5x(3), As3x(3), As2x(3)
KsJx(2), Ks9x(3)
AxTx(12)
KxTx(12)
QxTx(12)
JxTx(6)
T9suited(3)
Hope my math is right/Does this change flop bet correct action or is it not that simple?