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1/3 AA on BTN, river bet question 1/3 AA on BTN, river bet question

09-16-2013 , 03:57 AM
Villain hasn't played many hands for the 2~3 hours I've been at the table, but he seems kinda solid and I've heard him talking about 2p2 to the guy next to him.

Hero has only shown two hands, both boats, and took in good sized pots. Besides that, just normal C-betting getting folds. I have around 220 at the start of this hand, villain has me covered.

4 limps to me on the BTN, and I have A A
I make it $15, and all 4 call.

Flop is K47 rainbow, and it checks around fast to me. I bet 30, and only one caller.

Turn comes J , bringing two clubs to the board. Villain checks, and I bet $55 into about $120. Villain calls after a little thought.

River comes J and villain checks to me a third time. Is this a standard shove? Villains range looks to be KQ, some weird played AK, or a set. Any thoughts are appreciated
1/3 AA on BTN, river bet question Quote
09-16-2013 , 04:17 AM
yes super std
1/3 AA on BTN, river bet question Quote
09-16-2013 , 08:37 AM
Pf should be a little bigger I think, 20 I'd say. As played the pots ~70 , this should be a simple 60 on the flop, shove turn for 145.
1/3 AA on BTN, river bet question Quote
09-16-2013 , 08:52 AM
If $15 is getting 4 calls it probably isn't enough preflop. With your stack I would be thinking of going to $25/$30 and planning on betting flop/shove turn unless I have a good reason not to.

As played, flop and turn are OK but a bigger flop bet/shove turn would be OK also. River very much depends on villain's range but against most decent ones I'm checking behind some or all of the time. What position was villain in? A lot of villains EP limp/call range here is nothing but small pairs and you should shut it down as soon as they call flop. In any case, there shouldn't be much in villain's range you beat by river.

Is the K a club or not? This makes a difference here because if villain can have top pair and a flush draw on turn there are a lot more hands you beat that might call turn and call a river bet. If that is the case them I'm much more inclined to shove river but I'm probably doing it less then half the time against a decent player.
1/3 AA on BTN, river bet question Quote
09-16-2013 , 10:08 AM
I like a raise to $20 preflop but yes.....easy standard shove. If he has a J or somehow boated up (which I assume he did since you're posting this hand)....so be it.
1/3 AA on BTN, river bet question Quote
09-16-2013 , 11:44 AM
After 4 limps I would be raising much more preflop in order to have a better chance at getting this HU and plus creating a braindead easy SPR to stack off to postflop. $22 sets up the easy ~4 SPR, but after this many limpers I'd still easily go $25 at a loose table.

We've really failed now. We've let 4 opponents see the flop getting immediate odds of 4:1 and implied odds of a further 14x, for a total of 18x. In the end, no one really made a mistake calling with a speculative hand (especially those setmining).

With the small SPR and small starting stack, I'm probably stacking off over 3 streets postflop unless some real tight guy raises, but I kinda hate that we've gotten into this situation.

I think I like the postflop betting sizes (due to the extreme dryness of the board; on wetter boards, I'd be looking to get stacks in by the turn) which leaves us with about 1/2 PSB on the river. Even though it scares the daylights out of me that this villain has seen very few showdowns, I'm guessing he's never folding a K and I suppose he shows up with this enough. I shove.

Gworkonpreflop,imoG
1/3 AA on BTN, river bet question Quote

      
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