Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmymcgill8
I agree with basically everyone telling me not to chk/raise, i was very mad at myself for that play in the moment and i was pretty sure it was terrible
The only thing I'm not sure is true is this part and maybe I'm not thinking about the situation correctly.
Button Straddled preflop and had to call $20 into $210, while closing the action. So his range is about as wide as possible i would think here.
When he calls on the flop facing just under 1/2 pot the only person I think he's worried about is UTG, since everyone else folded in front of him and my guess is that he thinks my checking range is weak (I think i basically check almost everything on this board, so not sure that's true, but I think the players in this game generally assume people C-Bet their strong hands as the PFR all the time). So while, UTG looks pretty strong betting into 6 ppl, I'm not fully convinced that BTN has to be very strong here, esp. given the amount of draws on the board...
In game I was much much more worried about UTG than i was BTN, but maybe I'm wrong. Curious to see if I have a leak in my thinking here
Without even looking at the cards, just the action...
You opened pre from EP. UTG called, some other folks called, and the BTN straddle called. Yes, at this point, BTN could have any 2 cards.
You check flop, UTG bets, it folds to the BTN, and he calls. At this point, BTN actually needs to have some kind of hand, even if it's one that he can plausibly turn into a bluff if he doesn't improve, meaning he's got blockers to the nuts or future nuts.
Just because you checked doesn't mean you don't have a hand. You could be checking your entire range when you get called by 6 opponents pre-flop. But now that 4 of them fold following UTG's bet, you might like to put in a big check-raise, to punish these fools for not respecting your pre-flop raising range enough, and for calling with any two cards.
Because you're still in the hand, as the PFR, BTN can't call UTG's flop bet with total air, just thinking he can steal the pot on a later street. Even if BTN thinks UTG is full of $hlt, it's a terrible play. UTG will never be full of $hlt often enough when he leads out into 6 opponents, from EP, just because the PFR happens to check. No one is bluffing into 6 opponents on this insanely wet flop.
You should be more worried about UTG, because UTG bet, and BTN just called. UTG has the stronger range here. But BTN also has a hand, you can be sure. If he didn't, he might try to raise as a bluff re-steal. Odds are one or the other has you beat, and whichever one might not surely has enough equity to continue, and will often improve to a better hand.
UTG is almost certainly betting for value and protection, often because he now regrets not 3B'ing pre, leading to a 6-way pot going to the flop. Now he's fast-playing his hand. His play comports with his having KK.
BTN probably had AdXd, AdJx, a pair + draw, some weak top pair, maybe even 2P fearing T9 or a set once you x-raise. Just because he folded doesn't mean he didn't have a hand.