1/2 at Borgata. Sorry if this isn't too interesting but I'm really lost lately and I'm making all the wrong moves. Not sure if my reads make any sense here.
Villain1 ($200) is a 40's white guy. Seems to play pretty tight (over a few orbits). Also seems to fear the nuts.
He started with around $80 or $90. He called a $13 raise from me with K
Q
. Flop came K93dd, I had a set of 9's. He just called $25 into $36 on the flop. Flush hit on the turn, I shoved for his last $40 or $50, he called. Villain said he was afraid I had the ace high flush. Another hand he said that a river bet had to be the nuts, and was surprised it wasn't.
Villain 2 ($200) 60's white guy. Epic calling station. Loves to l/c me, and then usually c/f. I took down a few pots from him (when i actually had TPTK etc), but for all he knows I'm FOS.
Hero ($300) Sat down a little while ago. Raised a few big hands, took down pots with no SD. Villain is new so he probably didn't see much of that.
6 limps
Hero (Sb) 10
10
raises $20
Villain1 (BB) calls $20
Folds to Villain2, V2 calls $20
Pot ~ 65
Flop: 2c2h3c
Hero bets $40, Villain 1 raises to $100, Villain 2 folds, hero?
This is pretty sick, because from what I've seen of V1 he seems to be tight. He also seems to fear the nuts. I think this is never, ever a deuce from this guy.
I only have a small sample size, but if he's actually a weak/tight nit the only hands that make sense to me here are AA or KK. He seems to fear the nuts all the time and IMO if he had JJ or maybe QQ he might just call fearing I have AA. So IF (it's a big if) he's a nit, it looks like a huge pp, or maybe some kind of spazz hand.
I only have a few orbits, so he might actually not be nitty. In that case, I think his range includes PP's (which I may or may not beat), OC/FD's, and maybe some random spazz hands. I may look FOS since with exception of the set hand I cbet a bunch of times and took down pots with no showdowns.
I'm getting like 2-1 here. Have 2 questions.
1) Do you fold or shove here (he only has like $40 left so I can't call).
2) If you're folding, what would you need to have to call here? Would you fold JJ, QQ, KK? AcKc?
3) Assuming villain just flatted this, would you guys be shoving a lot of turns? On an offsuit 7 turn, for instance, do you shove this?