Quote:
Originally Posted by curdanol
Hero checks turn with the intention of calling, but.......villain shoves.
I think you find a call here. Here's what we know:
1. You need about 40% equity to make this call.
2. It's very, very unlikely that you're drawing dead. That's because: a) the board is so blocked, he could only have you dead vs. KJd. Even a loose player isn't cold calling a raise with K9d or worse from MP; and b) if he has exactly KJd, he should be betting less to keep you in the hand.
3. Hands he might play this way include:
a) lots of flushes like suited connectors and one gappers. You are drawing live against these hands but aren't getting close the right price (76d; 56d, etc);
b) made hands that are better than yours but you're drawing live against, again without the right odds (ATs, A8s, 88);
c) Hands that he might think are ahead or drawing live, but are in fact crushed (AxJd); and
d) Hands that are drawing live but thin (KQo; KQs; QJs; 97s).
My first instinct was call; and then I played around on equilab and couldn't construct a realistic range that didn't give you at least 40% (most combos had you at 50-60) vs. a non-nit opponent. So, call & pray.