1/2 river decision TT vs super bluffy opponent - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

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1/2 river decision TT vs super bluffy opponent

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07-22-2019 , 11:28 PM

sixsevenoff

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2017 Posts: 5,411

1/2, 9 handed, $200 effective. Hero and villain have played ~30 hours before. Villain is probably a small winner, plays way too many hands, and bluffs more often than anyone at the table. Villain seems to bluff whenever given the opportunity, and uses marginal hands to bluff with too. Hero has a TAG image.

OTTH

Tight passive limps UTG, loose passive limps +2, decent TAG raises to $10 HJ, loose passive calls, hero goes $45 OTB with T

and only villain in SB calls.

Flop ($127): K

. X-hero bets $45-villain calls.

Turn ($217): 7

. X-x.

River ($217): Q

. Villain shoves for $110. Hero?

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07-22-2019 , 11:36 PM

Jarretman

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 2,937

Easy fold

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07-23-2019 , 12:00 AM

SandFish

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2019 Posts: 130

What do you think he's cold calling from the SB? My answer is that it's heavily weighted towards hands like AK, AQ. You have 30hrs against him you should know

Fold and re-load

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07-23-2019 , 03:05 AM

Viral25

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 1,857

Vs opponents who play too many hands and bluff too often, we should typically check our showdownable value, so villain can actually bluff us more often. Check back flop here, call down on turn and river, imo.

AP, we need him to call flop with 88-99 and AT-AJ, AND then turn those hands into bluffs on the river. Seems like a tall order.

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07-23-2019 , 05:40 AM

venice10

Referee

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 25,889

This is really a math problem. If he's bluffing 27% of the time, you call. If not, you fold. After 30 hours of play, you should know this. With most players, it is a fold. However, I have no clue what "super bluffy" means to you.

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07-23-2019 , 06:26 AM

Chicagodude

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 2,810

I know a lot of guys like that. I'd put him on some junk queen and fold there.

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07-23-2019 , 10:50 AM

thetruewheel

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 362

Let's see, you need 25% equity. You're beat by AK KQs KJs JJ QQ (34 combos). Can you find 9 hands that bluff this line? Given villain's tendencies I'm sure we can cobble together some random hands, but it's a high variance spot, so depends mostly on your read. I'd normally fold here because it's hard to find any bluffs for villain, but if you trust the read, you should probably call.

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