1/2, $250 effective, villain just moved from another table and this is only his second hand at the table. Hero and villain have never played together.

OTTH

Three loose passives + villain in CO limp to hero in SB who calls with 8 6. BB checks.

Flop ($12): T 5 2. It's checked to villain who bets $10, hero calls, and loose passive in LJ calls.

Turn ($42): 3. It's checked to villain who bets $25, hero raises to $100, and only villain calls.

River ($242): 5. Hero checks and villain shoves for $138. Hero?

Thoughts on all streets are appreciated!

Flop should be a XR most of the time. We have one of our worst flush draws but there are a lot of good turns that we can barrel. Any 3/4/6/7/8/9 non give us equity.

Turn should just be a x/c. Not only is this a limped pot - which means ranges are undefined. But CO will only call your XR OTT with mostly better hands. If you just do simple combinatorics, there's around 30-40 better flushes he can have.

You actually put yourself in a reverse implied odds spot. You are folding out all his weak hands - and targeting his strongest hands that are on a virtual free roll to cooler you.

The reversed implied odds situation is pretty common actually - I made a poll in the small stakes forum on a simple question regarding this exact concept.

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/6...-3bet-1748839/

Pretty much everyone got this poll wrong

With how the rest of the table was playing I expected at least one more villain to call and to get better odds on my draw. I do definitely see from the theoreoretical perspective why we should x-r flop... However, I wouldn't expect an unknown to ever be bluffing this multiway. I felt like if I raised I would have zero FE. I guess this reasoning is a case for just folding pre?

On a side note, you say we should raise because this is one of our worst combos...I was always told the NFD is the best combo to x-r, but that's our best combo, so I'm truly confused as to how we can tell which combos are best to raise and best to call.

With my image at the table, I am shoving for value here on this river. I'll get called lighter by some good Ten's & trips.

you need to have the best hand here about 36.3% of the time. In a limped pot, his range can be pretty wide on this board. He could have 55, 22, 33, 52s, 53/54 which are all reasonable bets on the flop, He could also have AT-T9 going for value on the flop, or a flush draw like J9hh, Q9hh, or weak AXhh hand.

When he bets turn, he's saying he either made the flush, has a hand that can call a raise (set, 2 pair, pair + NFD or 2nd NFD), or complete air ball bluff...which judging by his call he wasn't bluffing. I don't think he has a middling flush anymore like QXhh or JXhh, I think both those hands would shove here based on my experience. So i think you're ahead or drawing stone dead against nut flush.

when he calls your turn raise, I'd range him on 55/22, AhTx, KhTx, 54, 53, 52, or nut flush weak kicker. Against that range, on the river you have about 40% equity.

Without any information on Villian (Male/Women, black/white/Asian, Old/Young/ physical appearance, etc.) the math dictates calling to be profitable.

Also, I do agree that check/raising the flop would be a good play. You're giving yourself a chance to win the hand right away, and with 8 high that's always a good thing. Like above poster said too, there is a decent amount of cards that can come on the turn that you can keep barreling on.

I wouldn't check raise every time, but I would do it a good clip of the time (probably around 60% of the time)

Not sure why you didn't shove river yourself after c/r turn
AP I call

So you’re suggesting 54s has higher EV 3-betting BTN vs CO than A2s and 98s...? Interesting.

hi we are a young family looking for a house in the high river area but we have found that the house prices are higher than what we were looking for compared to that of the surrounding areas. has anyone any information on good areas for a family in and around the high river area with reasonably priced housing.