Quote:
Originally Posted by Aces&Kings
I agree with what you said here and honestly I think he's flatting a 3 bet more often than 4 betting, he's almost never going to fold though. I think if I 3 bet to $45 V2 is almost guaranteed to call (especially with the table loosening up at that time), and I honestly don't see V3 going anywhere either. So I would be faced with a $145 pot otf with $255 behind and hope no overcards come, noone hit a set, or hit a monster draw, or donk bets when he thinks his jacks are good on a K 10 4 board.
It would be a tough spot indeed but maybe the math is correct for me to still 3 bet preflop. You have to agree there would be a decent amount of variance you would experience in this spot right?
go to
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/25.../#post16811173 for some important stats. 62% of the time you will either flop a set or overpair with QQ. so this means 38% of the time you will have an underpair with QQ. is 3betting higher variance? yes of course, but it's part of the game and if you want to maximize your winrate, you have to learn to embrace variance
If they both call, that's a good thing too. You have a hand that crushes both their ranges and less than two pot sized bets left. That is a very good situation to be in. If they hit a set or huge draw, so be it, you just got unlucky. Most of the time, they miss the flop or flop a one pair hand and you get paid off huge. You're always assuming worst case scenarios, that is a huge leak. If they bluff too much of A high or K high flops, then check and let them bluff off their chips. If they dont bluff much at all, you can safely fold A hi or K hi flops.
and i disagree on the sizing for anyone who says 3bet big. 3bet to $45 or so is perfect. one guy is super short stacked so he doesnt matter. if we get two callers, thats great. we want to keep one or two in and let them make big mistakes post flop. now if they're calling $50 or more pre often, then by all means reraise to that amount