Quote:
Originally Posted by curdanol
Yes.
I bet smaller on the turn because there was a $1,000 high hand promo. Any board pair had a reasonable chance at $1,000. Any king was a lock. There was too much in the pot relative the odds of the HH to just check though. I picked an in between sizing.
Sometimes people scoff at this sort of thing, but it's actually quite reasonable. You could make some guesses about "reasonable chance" and the probability you get a bigger bet called and figure out if its really +EV to downsize. Seeing a river card is probably worth $40 in HH equity.
I play in a game where, for 45 min a week, the high hand among about 15 tables (aces full of jacks or better, $20/30/40 in pot depending on street) can be worth between $3000 and $9000. So, I'm happy to slowplay or minbet flopped sets to get my draw two 1-outers, as long as I can get enough money in the pot.
