I probably fold river when villain shoves. Hero's hand is likely strong then villain expect and villain may be shoving lower straights for value. Villain may also have some bluffs. But villain also has boats in his range given the way the hand played out. Against a very aggro fishy villain a lot is counting how many bluffs you give villain and I can see calling sometimes.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tbirdx24
It seems to me like you're equating "I'm like 90% sure betting is better than checking, so I'm going to bet 90% and check 10%". But this isn't true. Against this villain, if you're 90% sure betting is better than checking, than you bet 100% of the time. You never check.
Two reasons for having a mix of actions here.
The first is having a little balance. This isn't because of meta-game manipulating villain balance because a fishy villain probably isn't thinking about hero's range much at all. Rather it's controlling hero's range so hero has more hands that can play back at a super aggro villain when raised.
The second is that I'm not close to 90% confident which is better. Hero can't see villain's hand or read villain's mind. In a situation where there are two options that seem about equally good might as well pick between them at random.