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1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop 1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop
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10-13-2014 , 11:12 AM
#1
paperboyNC
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old hand
Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 1,793
MP1: $80. Short-stack. I've seen him get it in, but calling rather than raising and he's re-bought a couple times.

MP2: $440 TAG. I haven't seen any proof of him bluffing, but he does seem to prefer to bet than call.

Hero: $1100. Playing LAG style. Whole table has their bulls-eye on me because I won a huge pot after my double gut-shot draw all-in semi-bluff got called and I hit. I've also shown down the best hand many times after putting players all-in.

Pre-flop: Hero raises in UTG+1 with 99:spade to $8:, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, BB calls.

Flop ($33): 6 5 2

Hero bets $15, MP1 calls, MP2 quickly raises to $45, Hero?
1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop Quote
10-13-2014 , 11:15 AM
#2
Dochrohan's Avatar
Dochrohan
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 4,195
Call/evaluate turn.
1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop Quote
10-13-2014 , 11:19 AM
#3
Garick's Avatar
Garick
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Oberbiergenießer
Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 26,542
What kind of hands has MP1 shown down when he got it in?

I fold here. This is very unlikely to be a bluff when MP2 knows how likely MP1 is to call. It could be a semi-bluff with something like 78s, but considering the potential RIOs you have in the hand, i have no problem folding to that. Most of his range is sets, 56s, and other overpairs (of which yours is not doing great, because 77 and 88 are less likely to raise here, even though KK and AA would certainly have 3-bet pre).
1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop Quote
10-13-2014 , 11:22 AM
#4
paperboyNC
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Garick
What kind of hands has MP1 shown down when he got it in?
Generally he has shown top or middle pair though he did call all-in with a gutshot straight draw once. He only showed me and mucked on the river so I don't think MP2 knows that.
1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop Quote
10-13-2014 , 11:28 AM
#5
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Dochrohan
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Pooh-Bah
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Garick
What kind of hands has MP1 shown down when he got it in?

I fold here. This is very unlikely to be a bluff when MP2 knows how likely MP1 is to call. It could be a semi-bluff with something like 78s, but considering the potential RIOs you have in the hand, i have no problem folding to that. Most of his range is sets, 56s, and other overpairs (of which yours is not doing great, because 77 and 88 are less likely to raise here, even though KK and AA would certainly have 3-bet pre).
Initial thought was fold, but then I thought perhaps calling/evaluate was less weak. However, the more I think about the hand, I have to believe Folding is going to be more optimal. Going to be very difficult to continue in this hand OOP.

I think give me a hand like TT, I'll be calling/evaluating But 77-99, I think we have to fold.
1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop Quote
10-13-2014 , 11:42 AM
#6
spikeraw22's Avatar
spikeraw22
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The Situation
Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 8,741
Shoving would be the least weak play. Does that affect yor thinking?


Playing weak isn't necessarily a bad thing. Sometimes the weak play is correct. Garicks got this one. You need to realize that he's putting you to a $440 decision with 99 and two cards to come.
1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop Quote
10-13-2014 , 02:02 PM
#7
Nozsr
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old hand
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When we make it $8 to go in a 1/2 game they can have ATC.

If Villain had an OES draw it's not likely he'd be raising here.

All we really beat is something like A6 suited, and 77-88.

Gotta be a better spot later to play for $440.

Fold and say something like "I was just bull****ting". Even if it is Villain who is BSing our position is not conducive to continuing.
1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop Quote
10-13-2014 , 06:25 PM
#8
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Hate the weak-sauce c-bet. It just screams "well, I missed the flop but gotta c-bet, so here goes..." Either bet larger (like 25ish) or just check imo.

If shorty wasnt short id consider call/eval, but Id HATE to call just so Shorty can ship.
1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop Quote
10-14-2014 , 11:20 AM
#9
paperboyNC
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old hand
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Results: I fold, MP1 folds, MP2 shows one card, the 8
1/2 Overpair facing a squeeze on the flop Quote
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