Quote:
Originally Posted by Albert Moulton
Preflop SPR is 15 vs V1, which is a very bad SPR, especially OOP, for big pairs and TPTK type hands exactly because of situations like this. The only way to avoid this problem on the turn is to check/call the turn for pot-control. Your hand is too good to fold at the turn, but not good enough to stack off or commit on the turn to stack off on the river, despite V2's history. Therefore, c/c is better than bet/get lost because you didn't have a plan already.
Unfortunately, given your read, you might very often be ahead of V2. But if you go all in, he just folds bad hands, and calls with better hands. And even if you call the turn, you are committed to to stacking off on a blank river given the stack sizes and V2's history. Meanwhile, the passive "fish" may very will be slow playing a big hand in addition to all the draws and 1-pairs that he's calling down with. You just don't know because your position is bad. Therefore, with fish in the pot, you cannot crai with the same kind of confidence as if it was just you vs V2, alone.
I think you got stuck oop with a bad SPR and your bet on the turn means you should fold when raised in this particular situation. I just don't think it is good play in a deep stack game to put 15x the size of the pot in post flop with just an overpair. Even if you are making a marginally +EV play vs the total ranges of V1 and V2, combined, there will be better spots to get your money in much better, later.
I still think c/c the turn despite the draws, with a plan to get to show down without getting all in is a better plan than leading the turn.
This is just bad.
An SPR of 15 is awesome against V1. It's MUCH better than an SPR of of 5 or whatever you might want vs an unknown. You have to adjust your SPR for your opponents. Against a super nit you can't get allin with just an overpair even with SPRs under five sometimes. Against a guy who is often spazzing with *ANY PAIR* (and perhaps worse) you are happy as can be to get all in with an overpair even with SPRs that are 20+.
You also assume that V2 is never paying off and maybe slowplaying but OPs read is that he continues with marginal holdings and rarely slowplays.