Quote:
Originally Posted by ThrirtyThree
V ($400): 40s-50s Asian man, First time play with him. tight side
Preflop: Hero($750) dealt QQ in SB. V raises to $10 in MP. Hero re-raises to $30.
Flop ($62): 2d7d9c
Hero leads 45(too small? should I bet pot here?), V calls.
Turn ($152): Kh
Hero checks, V bets $50, Hero calls.
River($252):5s
Hero checks, V bets 75. Hero?
My thought process:
V calls my flop bets, so his range can be 9x, 88,TT JJ and He may re-raises if he has 22 77 or 99. I also eliminate KK and AA because he didn't 4b PF. K is a great card for him to bet on Turn, but I think it's a weak bet(Right?). I don't understand his river bet unless he has AK or KX.
Pre is good.
Flop is fine, no need to bomb it with such a dry board.
Turn, the king doesn't change much when you think about it. Unless he's specifically got KK, A
K
or something ******ed like K9, he should never have a king. You need to bet the turn to get value from a diamond draw.
River is a fairly easy bluff-catching call. 68 got there but diamonds busted. We're getting 4.3-1 so we need to be good one out of 5.3 times to make this a profitable call. Villains turn and river bets are so weak that we need to pay off here because it's hard to see him with much of anything that takes this line. It smells like blocking/value bets with 9x or TT/JJ or a bluff.
Really though, without solid reads, this needs to be bet/folded on the turn.