Quote:
Originally Posted by Edpoker123
Thanks for the reply. The action was limped pre so i discarded hands like AA or QQ in his range. For whatever is worth, when the flop came out and i bet and UTG+1 called. He literally jumped off his seat and said (yes lets go!!) and push his stack in the middle. I put him on set of 55 or 22. Knowing him He does not get out of line with draws (34). Also there was UTG+1 who was in the pot which i had to beat as well. Anyway looking back i prob should of made the call. I mucked, UTG+1 mucked and showed QJ, villian took the pot and showed 52.
This is where knowing your math is very important. If you had done the math at the table, there is no way you would have folded getting 1.6-1 (call $60 into $100 pot). Basically you only have to be ahead 40% of the time to break even (meaning you get back $60 every time you call $60 over many trials). So, counting combos of hands out there, you lose only to the sets (1 pair of Jacks, 1 pair of fives, and 3 pairs of 2's) which is 5 combos total. So all you need to come up with is 5 other hands that he could have and you are already there in terms of probability.
My advice would be to study some of the hand math in lots of different books out there. And don't take any of what was said here as harsh criticism...all of us were in your spot at one point and it is good that you are trying to work on your game.
Good luck.
Shorn