Quote:
Originally Posted by stran
Use dgiharris # 44% we win $465, $205 expected value. 56% we lose $330, expected value -$185. Net we expected to win $20. However, does T8off actually belong in V2's range ? If not the the numbers show a small loss. Bottom line is if we really say V2 only has two pair or a set and we are heads up if we shove, we are obviously indifferent to a fold or shove from a strictly dollars and cents standpoint.
I personally think JJ & QQ belong in V2's range. If V2 calls a shove then we can expect a small win, about $35. Of course the best result would be V2 has the overpair and folds to our shove and we pickup the $250 pot.
Another reason I like shoving in this spot is we shove, get called, turn or river the winner and then the table looks at us like we are an aggro degen gambooler because we went all-in on a draw.
Then later, when we flop a set or a boat and shove, we get called down much lighter because villains remember our previous shove... This even works when we get AA/KK pre and make a large preflop raise, villains call us down light remembering that we are loosey goosey...
Another great meta game result is that villain goes on tilt and comes after us on a personal vendetta to bust us, so he starts over calling us and will pay us off throughout the rest of the session