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1/2 Live Raise OTT & Fold OTR (Blunder)? 1/2 Live Raise OTT & Fold OTR (Blunder)?

12-03-2015 , 11:57 PM
1/2 (Live)
Lp vs. Ep (Single-raised + Straddled)
vs. Bad Lag: Bluffs rivers with 100%/majority of bluff range, turns made hands into bluffs (hands with SDV). Has bet sizing tells and an unbalanced betting range in certain spots like this hand. Won't play his draws passively leaves his semi-bluffs in his betting range.

(Hijack) $320 Hero: AQ
(UTG +2) $500 Villain:

Preflop: 3 limpers call for 5, Hero makes it 25, Villain calls (HU to the flop, Pot = 60)

Flop, Pot = 60
A6T
Villain leads for 25, Hero calls
Turn, Pot = 110
8
Villain bets 30, Hero calls?
River, Pot = 170
9
Villain bets 65, Hero folds

If villain had a strong hand he would likely x-raise OTF or OTT given most of our value range being Ax would bet given the previous hand i seen him x-raise with nuts vs. another opp.. He would expect us to be most of our/our entire value range here on this board when checked to even our marginal hands.

My reasoning for not raising the turn is i didn't know what to do if i got 3-bet all-in or re-raised. I do think villain will bet/call with most of his betting range OTT and then give up OTR/check a lot of rivers if unimproved. So i should just make it like 110 OTT and raise/fold?
This villain would prolly fire again frequently OTR anyways on a blank so i would still be getting 3 streets with a 1pair hand (which is why i took a passive pot control line).

Last edited by Evoxgsr96; 12-04-2015 at 12:04 AM.
1/2 Live Raise OTT & Fold OTR (Blunder)? Quote
12-04-2015 , 11:12 AM
I think there was a mistake made pre. If the pot was straddled, the pfr raise was too small. I'm raising it to 35. This would make the PF SPR~4. With this SPR and this board, I'm more than likely getting my entire stack in on the flop or turn.

One question to really analyze this hand is this: If you raise the flop/turn and get 3b, are you willing to get it in versus this V? If the answer is no, call down.

Finally, if this V is really bluffy aggro, be prepared to call down all the way.
1/2 Live Raise OTT & Fold OTR (Blunder)? Quote
12-04-2015 , 12:08 PM
PositiveEV is right to call attention to SPR, this hand is about deciding whether we're committed. Agreed with PF sizing a tad larger.

If his donking range includes all semibluffs and weaker aces, then calling to evaluate turn is a good plan. On this specific turn, just shove. Any smaller raise commits you, you can get called by draws or worse aces, and your hand needs protection.

Calling turn, planning to call any river, is also OK given villain description, although you've let him set his price to draw.
1/2 Live Raise OTT & Fold OTR (Blunder)? Quote
12-04-2015 , 01:03 PM
I don't think shoving turn is good when there is still $270 behind on the turn, no worse hands are calling unless you have reads this is specifically a draw.
I think you played it fine but a small raise (to ~95) on the turn for a free river showdown is another option. But if you do this you need to have a clear plan on what to do if he shoves.
1/2 Live Raise OTT & Fold OTR (Blunder)? Quote
12-04-2015 , 01:19 PM
Turn likely improved his equity with most of his range, I think i like the ideas of SPR. I seem to forget that a lot haha, but on the same hand i don't like to be plan committed in saying im stacking off 100% on this board etc... without taking into account other factors.

Ik OTR there are a lot of bad cards for me and ik i will have to call a river bet either way from this villain he won't frequently check here. For calling the turn here we rep a marginal value range (like 99, JJ, QQ, KK).

Only brought this hand up to ask the question when is it right to raise the turn IP, is it on boards that we want to have a raising range and given villain's flop + turn tendencies.
1/2 Live Raise OTT & Fold OTR (Blunder)? Quote

      
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