Villain is a middle-age black guy(very scummy/ghetto looking, no offense). He has been running insanely well. He's a huge donk who plays about 50%-60% of his hands and limp calls very often. He has previously showed bluffs 3 or 4 times. He "slow plays", and value bet small when he has big hands every time(trips, sets, etc.) We have been playing at the same table for about 5 hours.
I just lost a huge pot($600 pot) prior to this hand(someone hit a 2 outer and I lost boat over boat) on the river. Prior to that hand I had a tight image(I don't think it really matters to him).
UTG limps
UTG + 1 folds
villain limps
folds, folds, folds, folds,
Hero($210ish) in SB holds A
9
raises to $15
BB calls
UTG folds
Villain calls.
Flop(pot $46)
7
5
5:heart
Heros bets $25, BB folds, Villain raises to $100
Hero has $160-170 left and ???
I don't think a 5 in his range because he would "slowed played" it(he has been doing that every time). His pre-flop calling range is pretty much any 2 cards.
He just showed a bluff not too long ago. I think he either has a 7 or air in this spot, maybe a small pp(not too likely since he raised a few times to pp and showed afterwards) If I shove here, I am shoving for value.
Obviously, I don't have a made hand? Fold or shove?
My hand's equity against random 58.5%
My hand's equity against a random 7 about 25%
Note: I don't play 1/2 often at all. I usually play 2/5 and 5/10. I haven't really played poker for a while. Due to going back to school, and not being able to find a good job in the last few months I started playing live poker again. Since I don't have a bankroll, I thought about building my bankroll up at 1/2. My winrate at 2/5 is about $50 per hands over 400 hours. I use to play .5/1 online on stars a few years ago and I was a small winner over 100k hands. Against anyone else on this table, this is an instant fold...(However, I don't think this guy thinks much about his play at all)
Last edited by gazeintothefuture; 02-09-2011 at 05:26 PM.