Quote:
Originally Posted by curdanol
I don't think that's correct for live play. Top online players will face c/r bluffs much more frequently so they can get blown off their equity if they're betting too frequently. Plus, other online players will actually notice that he checks both his strong and weak hands oop position multiway. I'm sure he has many c/r bluffs on the flop as well. Position is everything though.
Again if this is heads up or even a three way pot I would be much more inclined to bet. Heads up I would bet it 100% of the time. But if I learned one thing at small stakes live it is this. Your money is made on multiway hands by having the nuts. Not by semi bluffing with draws or calling bets with the 5th nuts. Every time I talk myself into an aggressive play vs 3 or more opponents I’m increasing variance and likely also lowering EV in that particular hand.
But what I alluded to before is the second thing that really matters at ethese stakes. Your image. Small stakes players are likely to have about three player profiles to put you in. Tight. Loose and aggressive. Or Complete idiot. That is about it. And in general the more you fit into one of the last two categories image wise, the more you will get paid off when you make a hand. So making the play he made, while not being the best EVplay in this hand, may be the highest EV play for a session.