Quote:
Originally Posted by NelsonWelson
Thanks for your response!
I personally wouldn't include all NFD's in Vs range here. Also we don't have AJ. I think in almost any call X to win X you can inflate a V's range with draws to make it break even or push it into the fist pump GII category.
Hero's description says he is a decent player who gets sticky pre and post, not that he is shoving all draws and TP fourth kicker..
I'm staying in the fold camp.
I didn’t say villain was shoving, I just said to treat it as a shove to simplify the exercise.
The point was villain doesn’t have a b/f range in this spot. By betting the flop he is pricing himself into calling off a shove from hero, whether that be with JTs or A
T
. A hand like JTs has 20% vs. an overpair when he’d need 25% to call it off. A
X
is going to have 42-46%
It’s also rather important that the J
is not on the board, freeing up more combos for villain to have.
Folding flop is ridiculous and super results oriented. This is nowhere close to a fist pump GII, but it’s firmly +EV.