http://www.sharemypair.com/smpweb/sm.../feed_id/31150
PreFlop---
Obviously, I was getting the money in good PF. I find it EXTREMELY unlikely that they were limping any monsters, because the table would have given them 4-5 way action that they wouldn't want, and neither of them is particularly tricky.
Flop---
Js2s2d is not particularly scary. In my analysis I included all the reasonable 2s in their PF ranges, but this was just to be conservative. But I have very little reason to think they would play THAT wide. They check, check, and I C-bet the flop, and get 2 calls. This narrows their ranges to either a 2, a Jack, a flush draw, or a pair that they are getting sticky with. Before these calls narrowed their ranges, I was at about 35%, after their calls I am at about 18%.
Perhaps it was a mistake to C-Bet, given that I had to achieve two folds, which was almost certainly an unlikely outcome. Range-wise, at best I was at 33% equity, in truth I was at 18% equity. I got this money in not so good.
Turn----
The Ace on the turn helps me a ton. I do not think they had any possibility of AJ, given their PF limps and their check/calls on the flop. Turn goes Check, Check, and I ?jam?. I am uncertain about this. I must bet SOMETHING to charge the draws, and since any bet I make leaves me obviously pot committed, I figure the jam is best. The Jam also has the benefit of appearing like I could just be making an explosive bluff steal attempt (but I should probably not think this way.) Perhaps I could bet smaller to try and milk some value out of the draws, but I don't see that as smart. If I bet small enough to price them in, I clearly can't fold once they hit. I also don't forsee either of them turning their missed draws or pocket pairs into river bluffs considering my tight image and how the hand played out.
So, what do you think? Was this a halfway decent way to play the hand? I suspect I ought to have bet slightly larger on the flop, because a half-pot bet in a three way pot isn't enough to correctly charge a flush draw, or not c-bet at all. I see in retrospect that If I had bet more, say 40, and I got two callers, I would no longer have had enough for a large turn shove. Rather than having 125 to shove into a 127 pot as a bluff, I would have only had 110 to shove into a 172 pot. Any input is greatly appreciated.
Last edited by Garick; 08-06-2017 at 12:16 PM.
Reason: removed results
