Situation: Pretty standard loose passive Saturday night 1-2 game at a local casino. I'm usually a pretty boring ABC TAG who doesn't do anything all that imaginative, but this was one of the rare spots where an idea came to me on the river and I debated whether to make what could seem like a strange bet.
Villain: 40ish WG, her just sat down and I don't have many reads but he seems loose passive rec player as he has limped in half of the 12-15 hands he's been dealt.
Hero: 30ish WG, youngest player at table, I think I've open raised once or twice with no showdown since this guys been at table.
OTTH... 2 MP limps, V limps in CU, Hero overlimps with T
9
OTB, SB completes, BB checks.
Flop ($10): 9
7
3
checks to V, V bets $8, hero calls, rest fold
Turn ($25): 9
7
3
2
V bets $15, hero calls
River ($55): 9
7
3
2
A
V checks, hero??
My live read and the game flow of situation made me very confident this guy had one pair and likely the 9 (possibly 88 or some big 7s?). I would normally just auto check this back, but I'm trying to get better at turning made hands into bluffs or when the situation calls considering a merged bet.
Is this a spot for it? At the time, it felt like 50/50 on whether I was good but I thought he might sometime fold a better hand to a 3/4 pot bet and sometimes he might hero down with a worse hand since all draws missed.