Saw COTM and interesting wrt this hand. Just happened last night so cool timing. I will be discussing my on-going thought process during the hand. Promise all this was true at the time.
Villain sat down and tossed out 3 black chips from his pocket to buy in, busted by bluffing into a station, pulled more black chips out, rinsed and repeated, and I believe this is his 4th $300 buy-in all black chips from his pocket. He was Ukranian by name/accent and seemed pretty careless about money/the game imo. Not a ton of HH because he mucked so often because he had nothing so often apparently. Only at table for ~50 hands.
Villain: $395
Hero: $550
Preflop: Hero is dealt A
3
Villain is UTG and raises to 10, one call and others fold to me OTB and I call.
Flop ($33): T
7
4
Villain tosses in two green chips ($50) pretty quickly. Other guy snap folds, I re-count the pot just in case I messed up and am a bit confused. Never seen him overbet, at the time, I had no real memory of seeing him raise anything preflop but I'm sure he had.
My plan: Villain was doing the betting for me, my hand wasn't going to improve, and even a board pairing on the turn seems unlikely to give me the second best hand. At this point I ranged villain to have a myriad of hands. My thinking was pretty basic: If he has a good flush/set, he's going broke regardless of my action; If he has air (likely imo), my best action is to flat here. Raising narrows my range something silly and gets folds from tons of hands.
I act a bit confused (kinda was) and called.
Turn ($133): K
Villain quickly tosses out $100 chip, has +/- $200 behind.
My plan: Loved the K
, unlikely to improve my potential range, I feel like my taking time indicates me having a naked A
or some pair+FD combo. K also greatly connects with his range imo. Obviously, I have no ability to be able to rule out KK here. My choices are to shove here or flat. I decided to flat, to allow him to barrel the river.
Note: I decided OTT that I was going to call the turn bet and call ANY river bet. I think calling the turn bet with the plan to EVER fold is nut-low. In that case I should be shoving. I just think I make more money by letting him have a shot to bet the river.
Hero takes some time, counts remaining stack, and calls.
River ($333): 7
Villain tosses out $175 in under 10 seconds. Turned out despite my plan on the turn, the snap-call was not coming out. I took some time, convinced myself that I lose to only two hands (which I think is 100% true-KK/TT). I think TT is somewhat unlikely, he had limped often pre, I don't see why TT would be raised. KK is possible and makes sense with his line. I reminded myself villain had been mega-aggro, I had spent the entire hand acting like I hated calling all streets, and planned to do this (AKA I set up the entire hand to make this exact call). I also beat any flopped flush, any Kx, AA, 7x as well I suppose. T7 is not in his range.
Hero called $175.
Thoughts? Re-reading the HH, I think my line is still pretty good tbh. Not trying to be cocky, but I just think his range is mega-wide. If his range is mega-wide, is this line/plan, the way to make the most money here?
Thanks all