Fun hand a few min ago:
Hero (BTN, 400$): 22 yrs old, solid TAG image, well known winner in this casino
SB (300$): Tight old guy, playing VERY Passive, just calling aces pre, c/c TP and two-pairs all the way down, playing mostly fit-or-fold
BB (200$): ~30 yrs old friend of a reg, thought of him as solid
Game is 4 handed due to a smoking break of a 3-man group of friends sitting at the table together.
Hero has 85s.
Preflop: Hero raise 8, sb call 8, bb call 8.
(inb4: fold pre; I was clearly the best post-flop player, and wanted to get HU with the old guy calling to much PF and playing fit/fold postflop, so I think I can raise any playable cards there. Rake is pritty good in this casino.)
Flop: 347sss
Action: Sb leads 20, BB raises to 55, Hero ??
I have never seen the old guy leading before, and I think the other reg noticed this also. Because of that, I think the Reg would never Raise the blank As or As7d. So he may only raises sets for protection, the straight, and flushes which are always higher than mine.
I am not really sure about the leading-range of the grandpa.
He lead almost never before.
This would be the (for me) best-case reg-raising range otf:
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
8s5s | 40.69% | 19,740 | 0 |
33,44,77, ss, 56 | 59.31% | 28,770 | 0 |
Question here is obv what to do.
Do you fold this directly otf?
Do you call and reevaluate turn?
I think shipping is the worse option.
What do you do in your local games in spots like this ?
Which flush do you need to happily GII otf?