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1/2 Flopped bottom set bet sizing question merge bet river? 1/2 Flopped bottom set bet sizing question merge bet river?

09-02-2023 , 07:36 PM
1/2 $300 max. V is in MP. 30s-40s asian guy. Seems competent for this level. Hero MAWG. We are both about $600 effective.

V MP raises to $10. Folds to hero on button with 55 and we call. I think one of the blinds calls.

Flop: $30. 5 6 J r. V1 bets $15, hero flats, other player folds.

Turn: $60. 5 6 J - 9. Brings 2nd diamond. Other diamond is the 6. We don't have a diamond. V1 bets $35, we make it $100, V1 calls quickly but not too quickly. Alarm bells are going off here because of the straight draw coming in I expect him to at least think about AJ/QQ+

River: $260. 5x 6d Jx 9d 8x. We have about $470 or so behind.

V checks. River sizing and why? Assume from reads V almost never has a 7 nor QT. His range is JJ, AJ, AdJd, AK/Qdd and QQ+

I'll post my thinking later.
1/2 Flopped bottom set bet sizing question merge bet river? Quote
09-02-2023 , 07:40 PM
Based on that, I'm always betting. Probably about $150 and fold to a shove because we are showing a lot of strength.
1/2 Flopped bottom set bet sizing question merge bet river? Quote
09-02-2023 , 07:54 PM
If you're thinking about betting now, why not raise bigger on the turn?
1/2 Flopped bottom set bet sizing question merge bet river? Quote
09-03-2023 , 12:56 AM
I like $150. Big enough to not get raised without the nuts, small enough to get called by any number of hands you beat.
1/2 Flopped bottom set bet sizing question merge bet river? Quote
09-03-2023 , 01:11 AM
I'm raising flop with bottom set.


As played, I'm just checking this river back. We are likely only getting paid of on small bets and the times we get c/r it's a disaster.
1/2 Flopped bottom set bet sizing question merge bet river? Quote
09-03-2023 , 07:00 PM
I was thinking if I make it look like value he might fold top set as I can very very easily represent a straight here. I bet $150 and he tank called with JJ.
I was not even concerned w/ getting raised except by QT which I really don't see him having ever as he's handcuffed.

I was just wondering if anybody bets larger as a value/bluff merge or check back or even bet smaller as a pure thinner value.
1/2 Flopped bottom set bet sizing question merge bet river? Quote

      
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