Hero (900) @ table for 8 hrs. Villain is a very old man, appears to be in his 90's. has been on quite the heater calling a ton of raises PF (750). previously he check shoved A
Q
on a J
K
9
board and rivered his flush against a young girl holding JJ. Ive seen him limp reraise QQ preflop and correctly value bet middle pair in a 200 pot. His play is unlike the typical tight passive stereotype of old men. he is quite creative and crafty with his play
Hero OTB dealt 8
9
, Limps to villain in CO who makes it 15 ( he does this roughly 3x per orbit on avg), I make it 40. He calls
FLOP (80) 10
J
Q
Villain looks at me, coughs, and checks table hard, like he actually slammed it
Hero checks behind to appear weak, hoping villain will fire turn
Turn (80) 6
Villain checks again, this time more normally
Hero bets 65, villain goes all in and tells me "i got this one sonny" very arrogantly
Now clearly any club gives me the winner if i don't already have it. But my question is, how often does he not have AK here? hes jamming 650 over my 65 dollar bet. He is capable of having K9 here even given the PF dynamics. If i didn't have a club draw, this would really lean towards a sigh fold. I just feel like theres a good chance im ahead right now and if he so happens to have a straight i still have outs. Im weighting villains range towards QQ JJ 1010 AK AA A
Q
K9, J10 Q10. what do u we do here?? thoughts on all streets appreciated