Quote:
Originally Posted by the_dude_174
Pre is fine.
I think as a baseline strategy, we should play our big made hands fast otf if the flop is wet.
This spot in particular calls for a raise because it's K high with two low cards so all of his/their Kx hit TP but probably not 2pr, you can't see the Ac so any of these players could have AXcc or any other reasonable fd, and you have the button making the turn play much easier. Obviously calling if he jams flop.
There is also the question of "what do you raise here if not this?", but that is not very important at these tables.
The larger point is if V is in fact spewy, he is unlikely to be folding Kx+ and may even jam 1 pear on such a draw heavy board.
Even at these tables I think always questioning whether our approach is balanced is a good question - at least as a foundation, even if we may take more liberties in these games. So, to answer, I'm raising bottom set almost always, flatting middle set on occasion and if I somehow end up with top set here (almost impossible) I'd be flatting in position a lot. Bottom 2 pair (my hand here) is also getting raised most of the time. My flop call here is def rare, but opted to flat and see 1) what happened behind me, and 2) see what card peels and usually pound the turn because 3) I'm guessing based on what players said about him, he prob isnt slowing down. At the bottom end, I would be raising some big combo draws, but I'm folding most of the lower equity hands like gutshots I like to bluff with. So my calling range is middle set some of the time, top set almost every time, naked FDs, Kx hands probably. Actually, now I'm really glad you asked, because if I need to strengthen my range anywhere, its prob my calling range here. With that said, I still agree that in this game I should almost always be raising this flop, especially in this game, but if we get all GTO is life, we are leaving $ on the table in 1/2 games like this.
I'm open to critique on my thoughts here. Dont pull punches.
If another player calls from behind along with V and CO and, say, 2c, Ax, Kx, 6c etc hits the turn, I can get away from it relatively cheaply. If they call and the turn bricks, I'm pounding it hard and they have much less equity/are making big mistake by calling. My point is that I don't think the flop call is really ever disastrous...or at least rarely. Hand protection vs hands that have almost 0 equity and bink a big backdoor are already taken care of with the $25 bet most of the time.
Which is all why I'm really curious about opinions on the turn.
This is really my considerations that make this spot more interesting:
1) The narrow range we can give V after turn bet where we can prib snap fold to non heart A and K,Q on river.
2) He prob only has 7 or 8 outs, and we likely still get more value from him on a non A,K,Q.
3) stacks
ot is prob the biggest argument to always ship turn and disregard the other things. We can be happy with folds/equity denial and happy with call and being like 75%+ vs range.