Quote:
Originally Posted by YanasaurBBQ
Yes, villain is wide, so probably will call his entire 3bet range here that isnt jamming. What about jamming like I said though to maximize fold equity? We know this guy 3bets a lot, hes not only 3betting the most premium hands. What if we jam and get him to fold stuff like TT and JJ, maybe he even folds queens? And even if he does call it off we have solid equity.
You are forgetting about the times he has AA/KK and you are drawing thin.
Jamming preflop isn't as good because you negate your positional advantage. You want to play postflop even if the SPR is 1-2 because of how much better you will play flop/turns/rivers than your opponent (we naturally play better because we are in position and hopefully we have a skill advantage as well).
The small 4bet helps you define your opponent's range and also let's you win a lot of the time when you both have the same hand and miss the flop/turn.
He will also call hands like AQs/AJs/KQs so you get to stack those hands if you both hit, where as if you just jam, he will fold and you lose a stack.
A solver will
always 4bet small here IP, so you would need overwhelming evidence to prove to me that open jamming 150bb's is a better play. The "maximizing fold equity" reason isn't enough imo.
Another more subtle reason as to why 4bet jamming isn't as good (and why we should fold vs an unknown as a default) is because of bunching theory. Since UTG open raises preflop it is very likely he has an Ace or King in his hand which will reduce our equity.
It's the same reason why in a 9 handed game in BvB. If it's get folded to the SB and he has QQ and BB has AK and they get it all in preflop. The AK will actually be a favorite even though a solver will say it isn't. The solver isn't taking into account the 7 players who folded hands that very likely do not contain an Ace or King in them.
This will turn the AK from a slight underdog into a slight favorite against QQ.
Last edited by DooDooPoker; 04-12-2024 at 12:44 PM.