Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBenfer
Good point. I honestly hadn't thought about it that way - seems kind of obvious now that you mention it, though.
Here is where it is important to categorize your opponent as a suspicious player type or not. Suspicious players are those who are more likely to view a big bet as a bluff, call more often when draws miss because you might be bluffing and that kind of thing.
Against a suspicious player, you can pot the river and he will interpret it as you trying to steal his half of a split pot. Against a standard player, we should just make a normal value bet.
Readless here, I'd just go with a regular value bet, maybe $50.
Your preflop plan to raise to $12 was solid, but look at this:
If you raise to $12, preflop pot is $36. Your 1/2 pot flop c-bet would have been $18, your 1/2 pot turn c-bet would be $36, there'd be $140 in the pot and you'd be looking at betting $70-90 here. That one red chip mistake winds up costing you your equity in an extra $70 or $80 in villain's money. That's a huge mistake. It pays to be more careful with your actions.