Quote:
Originally Posted by psujohn
You're conflating 2 different questions.
The question on the flop is - do we want to shove $325 with a 49% chance of winning $700. The answer to that is yes.
The other question you seem to be asking is - do we want to call As9s vs QsQx pre flop knowing that the flop will be 9x7s3s. The answer to that is no. That is if we know before we or anyone else puts any money in the middle that we'll have 49% equity we don't want to put money into a heads up pot.
The trick is that you don't "know" that you're against QsQx until after the pre-flop decision is made. In fact we can argue whether the pre-flop play in your example is good or bad. But clearly once we've arrived at this flop it's +EV to get the rest of our money in.
Yes, thanks, that's what I'm getting at, especially your 2nd paragraph.
Quote:
Originally Posted by WereBeer
Your chance of winning is irrelevant, the EV of the decision is what's important.
Say you're on the BB, everyone ahead shoves, you have AA. Do you fold? Your chance of winning is sub-50%.
Is my situation the same as this AA one though? To answer, of course I'll shove as I'm ahead w/ my rockets. I'd shove also in my OP example, just that I didn't like the spot I got myself in lol.
