So in my last session I was playing 1/3. My opponent is a 20 something white male who looks like he takes the game seriously, he might even be an aspiring pro for all I know. I do know that he is a reg in the casino I frequent.
So the hand begins with him raising UTG 4x (read - tight range)
MP Calls
I call in the CO or button w/ T
7
Folds around
Flop was Q98r
He bets his standard 2/3 sizing
I raise and he folds and asks me what I had. I tell the truth (mistake) and he says "nice raise".
Now since I know my opponent is a smart guy, I expect him to adjust by calling w/ top pair or over pairs more often to my flop raises but I also know he is capable of folding 1 pair if he thinks I don't have enough semi-bluffs.
What would the correct adjustment be?