Quote:
Originally Posted by The Rumor
Let me give you a couple of examples that might help:
- People are terrible at gauging the relative strength of their hand. They cannot fold worse trips, flushes, full houses, TPGK, etc. We have to be aggressive into the pot when we hold a hand at the top of the villain's calling range.
- People see far too many flops because they came to gamble gamble. We can profitably raise larger pre and play fewer hands. We can punish limpers for dead money. Etc.
- People call instead of raising far too often. Villains do not bet often enough. This allows us to fold more often than they do when faced with action, because they aren't putting us in positions to make as many hero calls as they think we should make.
Ava is describing the general condition that leads to these spots.
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I absolutely agree with the concept of fold equity, but if you are using fold equity as an excuse for bluffing without considering the board and your opponent, you're doing it wrong. You'd probably be better off never bluffing.
I don't really think that people come to gamble in these games from the description the OP gives, assuming they are similar to many of the games I've played in.
I think they see a lot of flops not because they came to gamble, but because they can see 3 more cards for a price they think is cheap. At 1-2 NL they are often limping hoping to see flops for $2. Even when someone raises, there are often other callers so they don't mind putting in $10 because they think they have implied odds (even though they have a very poor understanding of implied odds). They think it's worth it to put in $2, or something like $6-$15 in a multiway pot, in an attempt to hit a monster and hopefully win hundreds of dollars.
So their strategy is often to see a lot of cheap flops, and then fold if they don't make much of a hand. If they make a monster, they either slowplay or try to put a lot of money in the pot. A lot of players I've seen also will not stack off with top pair, and they get scared and nitty even with trips, sets, and straights if a flush is on the board.
You're right though that they still are bad at judging how strong their hands really are so they will still make some loose calls after the flop, but they also tend to see a lot of flops which will result in them having wide, weak ranges after the flop, so it's rare they put much money in after the flop.
I think a lot of these players are actually trying to win, but make many of the mistakes they make because they're still pretty bad.