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Weird spot 300 BB deep with pocket QQ's Weird spot 300 BB deep with pocket QQ's

05-13-2021 , 08:09 AM
In a vacuum against an opponent who is 3-betting appropriate ranges in CO vs BB, QQ is borderline: you can 4-bet or flat.
Against a player who is perhaps 3-betting too aggressively, I think we need to open up our 4-betting range. This becomes a clear 4-bet IMO.
If we size our 4-bet fairly small, to 450, and V 5bets it is going to be an all in sizing of 1400 for him. We’ll be getting 2:1 in the call, so we need 33% equity to call a jam. Against a range of {KK+,AK}, we’re at 40% with QQ. Against {KK+,AKs} we’re at 27%. So whether we can call a jam depends on assumptions for our LAG.

I’m in the 4bet/call camp, but can see arguments for 4bet/fold.
Weird spot 300 BB deep with pocket QQ's Quote
05-13-2021 , 08:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick
Among other things, stacks are deep enough that a well-sized 5-bet is not going to be a jam.
There's no 5-bet size that is reasonable other than a jam unless you think 5-betting to half of effective stacks is reasonable.

Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick
Whiskey Tango Foxtrot?

The real danger with big pairs with big SPRs is the wide range of implied-odds hands that can see a flop or continue to a flop bet and score big when they get there. Making the pot bigger pre makes the hand easier to play post.

That said, there is an argument for keeping the pot small: we have absolute position, and big SPRs amplify the power of position. We may want to flat the three-bet with our entire range so as to be able to play in position with a range that the villain may not realize is actually uncapped.

But fearing to get it in pre with a 280 bb stack is crazy talk.
Is your criticism that we shouldn't be unhappy about getting 280BB in or that not wanting to get 5-bet is a bad reason not to 4-bet? We're not printing EV vs. any non-maniac's 5-betting range here. We're certainly not happy about it and at best we have a marginally +EV sigh-call.

Not wanting to get 5-bet isn't alone a very good reason not to 4-bet. If that's what you're saying I agree with that. However I do think it is a reason to prefer flatting this hand over something like AA that prints money with preflop coolers. If villain has 5-bet bluffs that reduces the EV of 4-betting QQ compared to someone who doesn't, and the effect is slightly greater than it would be at shallower depths due to the poorer odds we'll be getting. At 100BB we could just value jam and stack JJ/TT type stuff, always realize our equity when we're behind and never lose EV from facing a 5-bet.
Weird spot 300 BB deep with pocket QQ's Quote
05-13-2021 , 01:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChaosInEquilibrium
If we size our 4-bet fairly small, to 450
Thats actually a large 4 bet size. IP 4bets standard size is 2.2-2.3x
Weird spot 300 BB deep with pocket QQ's Quote
05-13-2021 , 03:58 PM
For context in this game the way it plays raising from $175 to $400 is a guaranteed flat minimum. I think this player is capable of 5 betting all in with a variety of semi bluffs. Thanks for the feedback I think I'd lean towards 4 betting to $450 next time. Thanks all !
Weird spot 300 BB deep with pocket QQ's Quote
05-13-2021 , 07:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Handanonymous
For context in this game the way it plays raising from $175 to $400 is a guaranteed flat minimum. I think this player is capable of 5 betting all in with a variety of semi bluffs. Thanks for the feedback I think I'd lean towards 4 betting to $450 next time. Thanks all !
If that's your read wouldn't that make 400 a way better raise size? That would mean we're way ahead of his range and can happily call off.

I disagree he would have any semi bluffs since live vs don't typically play that way but something to think about
Weird spot 300 BB deep with pocket QQ's Quote

      
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