Please ignore the 4 digit numbers you might see scattered throughout the post
1/2
HERO : Th8h
FLOP : 9h Jd 6d Kh 5s
Assumes Hero raises and V calls(OOP)
Pot : 23$
Hero cbets 15$ on dynamic wet board.
(Probably 50% of the deck left is going to be a scare card)
V check raises to 45$.
Hero calls
(V might be check raising with sets, two pairs, TOP PAIR*to charge draws* , draws.
But, hero has a Straight draw + medium backdoor flush draw as well, though the straight draw is the second nuts OTT if a Q does fall)
(Redraws on RIVER too, very dynamic board)
(Dynamic boards might see V continuing to the RIVER with at least a TP)
...1535 should hero reraise here?
Or just call and play a smaller pot if we do hit, because...
1st - It's difficult to make big hands.
(If V wants to play a big pot, and they have more strong hands in their range as compared to weak hands, we can fold)
2nd - V might have alot of weak hands in their range which they won't call a big bet with.
We can get them to call us with their weaker hands.
1547
TURN : Kh
Pot : 118$
Well, we have a flush draw now.
30%~ to hit our hand.
V checks, we bet 80$. V calls.
V will be continuing with TPTK+, I believe.
TPTK and probably weaker TWO PAIRS will be bluff catchers if RIVER bricks.
If I have a set, I would probably reraise OTF to 60$, and bet/check raise again OTT.
BETTING is better.
If I were the REG, I would figure that there are a lot of draws in V(Us, Lester..) and other weaker hands such as weaker sets/TWOPAIR
Back to us.
RIVER : 5s
POT : 278$
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Lets back track little here to the TURN street.
Assuming we both started with 200$, we both are left with 65$.
(Different actions taken and thought process)
1st - V checks TURN, we bet.
V is much better raising all in us OTT since we are already committed.
2nd - V check TURN, we check.
OTT for us, we should have just checked it back and hope we hit our hand.
3rd - V leads TURN, we raise all in.
If V have a set here, we believe V would be betting around 80$.
Pot OTT : 198$
We have to call 80 to win 198$.
2.5 to 1
We have to be right here about 28.7% to breakeven, am i right?
Should we shove all in here for extra 65$?
If we do shove here, is the math then,
65$/65+(80+278)= %?
Should our 80$ call be included as the reward, if we were to shove for an additional 65$?
Last question. RIVER bricks. Assuming that we bet 80$ and V calls OTT, what could we do OTR? We have like 4.5 to 1.
What's your thoughts?
1629
Last edited by smokey93; 07-20-2018 at 04:44 AM.
Reason: Add my hole cards in