Playing 1-3 against someone ive played quite a bit with he can be described as pretty tight pre flop but postflop not very good, a station (will nearly never let go of tptk or overpairs) and complete hero at times. I have value bet very thin in the past correctly, and i know him personally and happen to know he is in the middle of re-building his roll also i have not played him in a few months he knows im capable of anything.
Been playing 2 hours 1-3 nlhe when this hand takes place...
villain opens 15 from hj with stack of 500
hero raises to 45 with K
9
with stack of 1k folds around villain calls. I dont have hold em manager live so cant give percentages but this is someone who folds Alot to 3 bets, and i had been pretty quite since arriving.
pot 97 flop comes 2
3
4
villain leads for 65 hero calls
pot 227 turn K
villain checks hero bets 135 villain calls after about 30 secs
pot 497 river 8
villain checks hero?
his hand to me looks like 99-1010-jj-qq a-k a-q i know for a fact he does not have 22-33-44, also he would not slow play aa-kk out of position.
My instinct was to say all in but theres alot of money in there could check back and hope to be good dont want to own myself, could bet call off, bet-fold urrgh not possible any bet would leave me getting like 5-1, 6-1 on calling off. or jus move in. This is someone that i know for a fact is capable of calling down fairly light, also knowing he is in the middle of rebuilding his roll would he be calling down like he used to. Help please! river and whole hand as played