Quote:
Originally Posted by 6betfold
Oh cmon, they're never betting Jx on blank rivers like ever. It's always always 2p+ vs these players. A $100 bet OTR is polarized at these stakes, and since there's nothing that missed, it's just 2p+.
This is not 5/10 where players turn medium strength hands into bluffs or bomb them for value.
You've never seen a LLSNL go for thin value? Are you serious?
Remember, in this example, you checked the turn
From his POV, you gave up after your c-bet on the flop, didn't bet the highest card on the board, and any flush comes through the back door.
I think enough LLSNL villains will find a way to lead out with a Jack, or a Q9 or QT that floated the flop, that you can call and not feel too badly about it.
But we both agree that's super unlikely to happen anyway. Plan A is to bet the river yourself and get called by Jx. The chances of that increase tremendously if you check back the turn.
Clubs came through the back door, and you're heads up. If he makes a flush, so be it. Don't waste time trying to sniff it out. The only bad river cards are J, T, or 9. In that case, make a read and decide what you wanna do.