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Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep

10-15-2017 , 06:41 PM
Very surprised how many are in the "check river" camp. V has been quiet, hasn't shown aggression, while Hero B/C turn with trip Q and a flush on board. If V had shown aggression, ok, but that doesn't seem to be the case here.

Do you really think KK+ is betting the river? 12 combos of those, with 9 combos of AQ/AdKd most likely betting. Once Hero calls turn I think over pairs are checking back river most of the time.
Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Quote
10-15-2017 , 08:35 PM
Villain 3bet and raised the turn. Seems like aggression to me.
Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Quote
10-15-2017 , 08:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by samo
Do you really think KK+ is betting the river? 12 combos of those, with 9 combos of AQ/AdKd most likely betting. Once Hero calls turn I think over pairs are checking back river most of the time.
While this may be the case, I think the chances of those hands betting the river when checked to is greater than the chances of them calling a 3bet on the turn, even if the percentage chance is very small.
Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Quote
10-16-2017 , 05:40 AM
Results

Spoiler:
I called and lead something like $300 on a T river and she tank folded. I don't think I could of made any more money so probably didn't really mater what I did. She claimed she folded a Q but I can't believe that. Probably had a hand like AA or KK or AK with a diamond.
Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Quote
10-16-2017 , 09:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chop$
While this may be the case, I think the chances of those hands betting the river when checked to is greater than the chances of them calling a 3bet on the turn, even if the percentage chance is very small.
I'd call turn and bet river.
Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Quote
10-16-2017 , 10:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by samo
Very surprised how many are in the "check river" camp.
+1

we don't make any more money when it gets checked back.

Raise now. If she's raise/folding, so be it. Or, you can call now and jam river, both are better than calling now and planning to c/r the river.
Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Quote
10-18-2017 , 04:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by djevans
Results

Spoiler:
I called and lead something like $300 on a T river and she tank folded. I don't think I could of made any more money so probably didn't really mater what I did. She claimed she folded a Q but I can't believe that. Probably had a hand like AA or KK or AK with a diamond.
no she probably had a Q like she claims. that makes more sense than she had AA or KK and lied about it. I can't understand why you would think she's not telling the truth? like if she had AA or KK or AK with a diamond, why would she raise the turn? You think she raised you with AA on the turn and then lied and said she had a Queen? why??? why do you think she wouldn't have a queen there and fold it? you lol called a raise on the turn and then lead river, you might as well have flipped your cards up before you did it..

calling turn in this spot is burning money. you can say whatever she wasn't putting more money in no matter what and she lied about having a queen. but that all sounds like you aren't trying to learn from this situation and instead trying to chalk this up to some kind of beat??? i dont get it. you definitely could have made more money if you just shove the turn... its a lot harder to fold there.
Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Quote
10-19-2017 , 06:10 AM
if the 9 was any other suit i'd discussing raising at some frequency... being the flush got there I don't see how this isn't a call/check river.
Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Quote
10-19-2017 , 07:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rich Checkmaker
no she probably had a Q like she claims. that makes more sense than she had AA or KK and lied about it. I can't understand why you would think she's not telling the truth? like if she had AA or KK or AK with a diamond, why would she raise the turn? You think she raised you with AA on the turn and then lied and said she had a Queen? why??? why do you think she wouldn't have a queen there and fold it? you lol called a raise on the turn and then lead river, you might as well have flipped your cards up before you did it..

calling turn in this spot is burning money. you can say whatever she wasn't putting more money in no matter what and she lied about having a queen. but that all sounds like you aren't trying to learn from this situation and instead trying to chalk this up to some kind of beat??? i dont get it. you definitely could have made more money if you just shove the turn... its a lot harder to fold there.

The action in general was just kind of weird. While I think people tend to play more straight forward in 3b pots, I'm not sure most 2/5 players are taking a raise/fold line. Granted she's an unknown, but I would imagine most AA/KK/AQ would probably bet that flop.

Once she raises the turn though, I'm going to assume she's incapable of folding there. So I'd just try to GII there. I think she's more likely to stack off with an A/Kd, or a Q on the turn; than if we get a brick river.
Turned a set in 3bet pot - 2/5 150bb deep Quote

      
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