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TPGK OOP on monotone board TPGK OOP on monotone board

06-26-2016 , 08:24 AM
1/2 300 eff.

Hero has tight aggressive image and some history with villain, who should know hero to be a strong player who usually has it but still bluffs often enough.

Villain is to hero's left, sat down a few orbits ago, is playing quite loose and is calling and betting (often bluffing) a lot postflop.

Hero raises to 12 over a limper from LP with AQ, villain calls, limper calls, everyone else folds.

Flop (36) A73

Checks to hero, Hero bets 25, villain calls, limper folds.

Turn (86) 7

Villain's calling range on flop is quite wide. It includes the K and probably Q of clubs, some aces, possibly some 7's, possibly some pocket pairs, and probably made flushes. 2pair+ is probably raising, but I'm not certain.

Do you continue betting this turn? Nothing better is folding (maybe AK), and even the Kc will probably fold to a significant bet (but who knows). On the other hand checking doesn't feel great, and allows clubs to draw for free.

Anyway, I checked.

River (86): 9

What now? bet/fold? x/fold? x/call?
TPGK OOP on monotone board Quote
06-26-2016 , 10:18 AM
Bet 50 on turn for value vs. a club, worse Ax, pair + draws, etc., generally with the plan to c/f or c/c rivers depending on card and action. As played, probably just c/f river now.
TPGK OOP on monotone board Quote
06-26-2016 , 10:36 AM
V is described as calling and betting (often bluffing) post.

As played, I'd x/c up to half PSB on the river. Most clubs have showdown value and will check it back. Bets will therefore typically be big clubs and bluffs. I don't expect a boat on this action. There's some tiny benefit from the paired board on the off chance V is mubsy or thinks everyone is tricky and trappy with nutted hands.

Agreed 50 on the turn. It's a b/f for me.
TPGK OOP on monotone board Quote
06-26-2016 , 10:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Case2
It's a b/f for me.
Definitely a b/f on turn.

But not expecting to get raised often at all.
TPGK OOP on monotone board Quote

      
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