Quote:
Originally Posted by Mattinova
(BB) Hero As2s Stack: 1200+ (BTN) V1 400+ (MP) V2 1500+
V2 limps, V1 raises to 20, Hero & V2 call
POT: $62
Unless V2 had a meta game play in mind, it is safe to discount AA-1010 or AK-AJ from his range; considering the unlikelihood of the blinds or a tight passive player opening the pot. It is possible that he limped 99-66, but it is more likely to have small pocket pairs, connectors, or a variety of marginal high card possibilities.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mattinova
FLOP: 9s 7s 4h
Hero bets $40
What does leading into a tricky aggressive opponent and a weak tight station accomplish?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mattinova
V2 calls, V1 calls
pot: $182
Against an aggressive opponent, the lead is more likely to be perceived as a probe than a monster. V2 is unlikely to reveal information, as he is capable of floating, bluffing scare cards, and slow-playing. The weak tight station opened the pot with a range dominating A2s, and will not fold or raise with the bulk of that range. My conclusion is that the lead is a block bet to disguise the flush draw, since neither opponents will reveal strength or fold better hands.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mattinova
TURN: Ac
Hero leads for $90
At this point I feel I am very far ahead of everyone and I bet smaller than normal to keep V2 and V1 in.
Neither opponent has acted out of line, so what observation has led you to believe that you are ahead? If anything, the small bet serves as more of a probe than value bet.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mattinova
V2 raises to $350, V1 folds
POT: $622
Consequently, the size of the turn bet has given an aggressive opponent the green light to pull a scare card bluff or disguise a monster as combination draw. What weaker hands will call a re-raise? Unless he has no conception of pot odds or you have a reputation of playing big draws hyper aggressively, he would not stack off without top pair. What hands constitute a scare card bluff? 36, 45s, 56, 68, 810, 8J, 10J. What could have been slow-played? A4, A7, A9, 47, 79, 44, 77, and 99.
Clearly, these ranges are based on speculation. However, a bet between 140-175 limits his options; as Semi-bluff raising becomes costly while denying pot odds: forcing him to continue with the upper end of his range. As played, I would elect to fold on the turn since better hands rarely fold, few dominated hands ever call, while flatting pot commits you.
Last edited by Jen-Sung Tan; 05-29-2010 at 03:53 AM.