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Old 11-29-2015, 12:01 PM   #1
sguidos
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TP+Great Draw vs Turn Donk Bet by Unknown

1/2 NL, Unknown Villain sits down with $200 and I cover. After a couple of uneventful hands I have no reads on V but he looks like a 60-ish redneck truck driver. Hero gets KQhh in MP, raises to $14 after 2 limpers which at this table will usually thin the field to 4 or less players. One LP and the Button cold call, V calls in BB, one limper calls, and we are five to the flop with a pot of $64 after rake.

Flop is QJT rainbow, 1 heart. V checks, I bet $40 with my TP+OESD, LP folds, Button calls, V hesitates and then calls, EP folds. 3 players to the turn, which is a 7H, the new FD promoting my hand to TP+OESFD. V donks out for $30 !!! with $85 behind.

After some thought I just smooth call here, thinking 1) I may still have the best hand, and if not 2) I don't want to get blown off my draw; also 3) I wouldn't mind if the two players behind me come along for the ride since I have a great draw; and finally 4) I have no idea what V is thinking here or where he is at. But the other two players both fold and it's heads-up into the river, which is a 6d brick. V shoves for his last $85, Hero tanks and then ???

Thoughts on my turn play, and what I should do on the river, would be appreciated.
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Old 11-29-2015, 12:16 PM   #2
patmister1
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Re: TP+Great Draw vs Turn Donk Bet by Unknown

In a 5 handed pot With KQ on a QJT board I'm going into cheap showdown mode. That will very often smash someone for 2pair or a straight and your never getting paid off by worse unimproved. And when you do improve its hard to get paid off with the 4 liner to a straight. Your turn is fine. I'd fold river.
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Old 11-29-2015, 12:18 PM   #3
iraisetoomuch
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Re: TP+Great Draw vs Turn Donk Bet by Unknown

Fold.
You likely have no fold equity on the turn, so I'm completely ok with just calling here.

On the river, unless the V is a complete mouthbreathing idiot I don't see him betting an y worse hand here that we beat.
The only few combos that I can think of that we are beating are AJ/AThh (which ever card was not the heart) A9hh, A8hh, J9hh, J8hh (or T9hh T8hh) again, which ever one wasn't a heart.

And there are a lot of sets, two pair combos, and made straights in his range.
Just fold.
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