Quote:
Originally Posted by RayJRay13
I like pre-flop, sizing could be a bit bigger.
On the flop a check is best against a really tight player. No possible draws so we're not giving up a whole lot of equity and exercising pot control.
His lead out on the turn doesn't seem like just a flush draw, given that he's a very tight player. It seems like he's trying to protect a pair of Kings. I think you were spot on putting him on AKo, He just doesn't call you pre-flop enough with KJ. 77 is also possible but less likely. Just because of the opponent I would definitely fold here on the turn, because if you can't really call turn and then fold the river too much.
No, no, no. It's nothing to do with pot control. It's all about maximizing value on future streets. Sure you give up a chance he hits a set or 2p, etc.
The thing is, at 30bb poker, you need to give some wiggle, even with deeper stacked poker you should be doing similar things HU.
You can make cases vs better opponents at 30bb and deeper stacked poker, you need to mix ranges, where you're never static with checking all your value bet, etc.
The pot control is just a bonus.
The turn bet is ridiculous to say AKo, he limped pre-flop. This is rarely AK. This is Kx, Kxs or a PP and sometimes, a floated QJ/JT trying to semi-bluff because you rarely hit this board and neither has your V. Turn is kind of gross, because you either have to fold or call/call a lot of rivers.
I hate this spot, because I'm never put in it vs unknowns. I always check this flop at this stack depth. It's a huge mistake not to.
Turn is probably a call. River is probably a fold. I doubt he leads anything under 2p+ on this river.