Quote:
Originally Posted by niceguy22
I was put in a rough spot in the 2/5 game last night.
Villain is a late 20s pro who crushes cash and tourneys. Pretty beastly and capable of anything. Capable of huge bluffs. This is my 3rd or 4th time 3betting him in the last 30 mins since i got to the table. I won all those pots without much resistance. Another thing is that right before this hand, I was talking with the villain about how this villain bluffed a guy in a huge pot and showed it (a different day).
We are $735 effective.
Folds to villain who raises to 20 in the HJ
Hero in co raises to 60 with Kk
Folds around and he calls
Flop ($120)
T93
Check, hero bets 80, call
Turn ($280)
T93T
Villain now leads $150, hero calls
River ($580)
T93T9
Villain jams $445 all in. River is a decent card cause it limits the T9 he can have but I still tank folded and he didn't show so no idea if I was good here. I'm calling with TT, 99, Tx (although honestly I probably have very few Tx cause it's my 3rd or 4th time 3 betting), AA, KK without a diamond, and I honestly Could have flipped a coin with like this hand, and QQ/JJ without a diamond.
Maybe this guy is super GTO and doesn't factor in game flow at all but I didn't have a good feeling about calling this off right after we were talking about him bluffing another guy. I honestly think if we didn't have that convo then I call. Thoughts?
Given your recent history of 3-betting this guy a lot it seems like he may try to bluff you a lot. He can have QJ, 87s, 76s, JJ or QQ turned into a bluff, various diamond draws. Having the K
sucks as it reduces diamond combos for villain but he still has all the NFD in his HJ bet/call range I would think. He can also have random overcards like AQ and he's decided to blow you off an overpair on a scary board.
I'm not entirely sure what to make of the turn except I don't think villain has a bare 9 like A9. He might be setting up a bluff or he might in fact have a T, but there are so many draw combos and he knows *you* don't have many Ts that it feels more bluffy to me.
I'm calling the river. I just think this guy is going to bet almost all of his missed draws on a double paired river where you pretty clearly have an overpair and x the river. A smart, tight player will fold here plenty often for a bluff to be profitable, and he should know this.
As an aside, why are you 3-betting this guy so much? Just getting lots of good hands? I try to make it a point not to mess around too much with players better than I am precisely because I don't want them playing back at me and putting me in tricky spots.