Alright, here is a sick hand from last night, it was late in the night and it was one of the last table standing, players were almost all pretty good and stacks were deep. It looked like a 2/5 table, especially that almost everyone straddes. I need help on this one guys.
Game: Live 1/2
Hand: 97
Position: BB (7-handed)
Stack: 600$
Villain: (400$, BTN) Solid 40yo loose-aggressive 2/5 player. Calls really wide preflop, especially when he think I just want to punish limpers/callers and steal. He doesn’t tilt or mess around, he plays draws aggressively and bluffs in the right spots.
Hero: Young regular, probably have a loose image from LP, but more tight-aggressive postflop.
Preflop Action: UTG straddle, MP1 limps, V limps, I raise to 24$, MP1 calls, V stares at me and calls. (80$)
Flop: 776
Action: I bet 40$, MP folds, V raises to 85$, I call. (205$)
Turn: Q
Action: I check, V bets 120$, I tank, he calls time on me after under 2 minutes, ...
He has 170$ more behind, pot is 325$ and it costs me 120$ to call.
It's a really weird spot since he limped-call preflop. He can have a really wide range of hands preflop, but now when raises OTF and keep betting OTT he has to have a 7 or pocket 66 or a draw.
He wouldn't have limped 88 or better preflop. Any 6 MAY have raised OTF but now would give up OTT.
He can have:
66 (3 combos)
76s (1 combo)
A7s, T7s, 97s, 87s, 75s, 74s (6 combos)
89s, 45s, 85s Not sure he would play that aggressively so lets count only 50% (6 combos)
Since the only 7 left is the 7
50% of the combos contain two heart which gives him a flush draw also OTT.
I am ahead of 9 combos (and he has about 20% to win, 25% to chop)
I am behind 6 combos (and almost drawing dead to all of them)
He might also be bluffing some of the time...
What would you do, what do you think on my play on every street, what do you think about the range I give him?