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Originally Posted by ChrisV
This, especially the first paragraph. The 15/25/35 rule is a crutch for beginners. Really what it is meant to illustrate is that it's not profitable to call raises and play fit-or-fold without pretty serious implied odds. Once you're not playing fit-or-fold, it's all out the window
No offense, I believe you're sincerely trying to help. But this type of thinking really tilts me, and it's not the first time it's popped up in this thread
Just a little background, this question was first raised in a different thread where we were talking about calling pre-flop, for implied odds reasons, when playing short-stacked.
My main point is that when you're not playing deep, your skill advantage goes out the window. That "crutch" you just threw out the window....you actually need it now.
The point I've been trying to make is that I believe 35x is NOT deep enough to NOT play fit-or-fold. If we're playing 100BB's deep, (as we often are), and there is a 3x raise (as there often is) that looks like it's about to go highly multi-way to the flop (as it often does), then I think we dump 98s in the CO. There's no money in it.
That's not a matter of skill, or using crutches, or advancing your game beyond fit-or-fold. That's a highly common scenario that shows up all the time in LLSNL and I think calling is a massive massive population-wide leak even among what we would consider "thinking players"
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, and it's impossible to map out the entire game tree of poker with "simple assumptions" the way OP is attempting to do.
That's a gross misrepresentation of the OP, and the actual meaning has sailed right over your head, even though I've explained it multiple times.
The cost of drawing is equal to ALL the money you put in while drawing. That changes from street to street. However, the maximum amount you could win (implied odds) never changes. It's not correct to evaluate your implied odds based on a single play on a single street.
The "game tree" has many branches. Someone else in this thread, correctly, stated that EV is the average of all of those branches.
So you should account for all of those branches when deciding if playing a certain hand is EV or not.
Last edited by LowStakes; 01-26-2020 at 09:36 AM.