Bet larger on the flop and be prepared to get the chips in.
On the turn this is a trivially easy call given the strength of our hand and the size of our stack relative to the pot. We basically only need to win one in three times to break even.
Given that villain is a friend, that should weight him more toward nutted hands (i.e. he may be trying to tell you to get out of the way). But your hand is still too good to fold with these pot odds.
Do you think the BB would make the mistake of playing ace-rag suited preflop against a raise from a 30bb stack? Would he 3-bet pre-flop with AK and JJ? Did you have 90 behind before the preflop raise or after?
Feel free to adjust the following range and run your own simulation:
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
AcQh | 47.56% | 749 | 176 |
KT,AQ,AJ,QJ,55,Ac5c,Ad5d,AdTd,Ad4d,Ad3d,Ad2d | 52.44% | 835 | 176 |