9pm on Saturday night. Table is mostly loose passive. Today the casino was having their holiday tournament so the cash games are pretty good as the players are starting to bust out of the tournament.
Villain is a 70+ y/o white guy who has been bragging about playing 2/5 regularly and also playing a lot of tournaments.
I have no history with primary villain in this hand although I have seen him turn pocket kings into a river bluff when the board paired and completed a flush draw against an obvious flopped straight.
Hero, MAWG plays TAG/LAG right now playing TAG.
1/2 NL 500 max buy-in:
Hero (730) UTG+1 A
J
opens to 10
V1 (300) calls
V2 (300) calls
V3 (223) calls
V4 (500) calls
V5 (500) calls
SB folds
BB folds
Pot (63)
Flop: J
9
3
Hero bets 35
V1 Folds
V2 Folds
V3 Calls
V4 Folds
V5 Folds
Pot (133)
Turn 9
Hero checks
V3 bets 25
Hero Calls
Pot (183)
River5
Hero checks, V3 shoves 153.
Hero?
Since I do not have history with the villain I think he has a lot of 9's here, I don't think he has a boat, but he could have one, but he didn't raise the flop, so I think he doesn't have many boat combos. He could also have a worse jack. I am torn about calling here as I think I have him beat less than 50% of the time, but more than 33% of the time. Is my logic wrong here? As previously mentioned I have seen him turn his hand into a bluff recently. I am getting a little better than 2-1 on my money.
What should hero do?