I appreciate/understand the suggestions to bet when x to on the turn. The thought certainly crossed my mind, as it makes the hand 'easier to play' (i.e. it buys us showdown a non-trivial % of the time, maybe gets a cry call from A2s/A3s/A5s). But isn't that about it? Their x/c range OTT is pretty much crushing us (77-JJ, QQ, AQ, KQhh-Q9hh, etc.), meaning a bet is clearly not for value. However, our hand will win @ showdown a high % of the time vs his total bet-flop/check-turn range, and if we check back turn @ worst we're giving them a 12% chance to suck out w/ hands they'll x/f with now if we bet, but might stab a blank river with (KhxJx/KhTx, AhJx/AhTx, etc.). All in all I think the EV is pretty darn close versus someone we believe to be 'thinking'.
Raising flop seems pretty 'meh' when villain is making a healthy bet into 2 players on a wet/textured/dynamic board, but OK. This is a pretty old & murky debate of whether to raise/push a pair+SD vs a preflop aggressor (one I'm not super interested in rehashing here), and I typically choose not to employ the play unless we're at least heads up, and even then probably not because my hand has alot of value on turn/river versus someone who may fire more than one barrel on scare cards and/or w/ missed draws.
Thanks for people's input. Here is the thrilling conclusion to the hand:
Last edited by Phil Me Up; 02-19-2019 at 11:57 AM.