Hello fellow Grinders,
Here's a little analysis I made of this spot regarding Hero's range and Villain's range and why we should do what we will do.
Hero's range :
Straights : A4s (4)
Over Pairs : AA-66 (6 combos each)
Flush Draws : AK;AQ;AJ;AT;KQ;KJ;QJ;JT;T9;98;87;76 suited of diamonds (1 combo each)
This makes our range contain almost 70 combos of hands. If we want to make an unexploitable call We have to calculate the minimum defence frequency
MDF = pot/(pot+bet)= 195/(195+450) = 30%
This comes down to calling the better 30% of hands in our range which is almost 22 combos.
The best hands to call will be :
Straights : A4s (4)
Over Pairs : AA(3) ; KK(6) ; QQ (3); JJ(6)
I think we should fold all our flush draws since if our opponent has a full house he played like this we're drawing dead.
Since we will be inclined to fold our aces with the ace of diamonds that blocks a decent amount of our opponents potential nut flush draws.
And since our opponent would rather call KQ than KJ in the SB I think there's merit to calling JdJx over QdQx.
As it is displayed my conclusion is that our JdJh is a borderline between a call and a fold.
Villain's range :
Now let's take at Villain's range in this spot and how our hand fares against that range :
Since Villain is flatting on the SB he should have many broadways and some suited aces of diamonds as well as some medium Pairs.
But considering the line he has followed this is what his range might look like
TT-22 ; AdTd-Ad4d ; KdQd ; Td9d-7d6d ; 65s-54s
By putting this range against our JdJh in the Pokerstrategy equilab we find that our hand has 70% equity.
Our opponent is giving us a 41% odds on this call, so this is a clear cut CALL.
Conclusion :
Following the two thought very neutral processes, I think that we need to call this hand.
Now if we are factoring that we have a history of folding to villain's overbets, we definitly have to call.
Finally, I think you played this hand in the right way and I don't think there's merit to raising the flop since we will only chase villain's pure bluffs, whereas he will be calling us with made hands and drawing hands anyway.
I hope my analysis was of help and I'm open to any critics and opinions