We can certainly squeeze here, but only if we (obviously) plan to play for stacks. If he's been raising 60% of his hands for the last 3 orbits, this is a super standard raise for value/isolation.
I think $75 gets it about done here. He likely shoves his whole range if he's that tilty, and we of course snap call.
If anyone else comes along after he flats or shoves, we might have to reconsider, but otherwise we're good.
This is all assuming that his sizing pre flop has been about the same thing most of the time. If he's been raising to $10 or $12 in a lot of his hands, and he's making it $16 now we might just want to flat.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Duke0424
If he's on tilt, I'd flat and set-mine. I think he could shove a lot of hands that normally someone would fold to a 3-bet in this spot.
Squeezing is generally better against people who aren't on tilt and are going to be able to give you credit for a big hand and fold to you. Not someone who raises a ton and just seems like he wants to get his chips in the middle. Also UTG raises are pretty strong, he might limp a lot of hands here that you're thinking is in his raising range.
I could be wrong, but I'm pretty sure there's no possible range here that he could shove that we don't have odds against. If we raise to $75 and he shoves, we're calling $75 into $300. Obv getting 4:1 we're good. (And this is assuming that we're not actually ahead right now, which is very possible.) This really all depends on how strong his UTG range is though. Which is one of the caveats that mentioned.
I'm not disagreeing with you, but just making it clear that if he's tilting and raising 60% this is a value squeeze. If he's no longer titling, then yes we need to flat and set mine.