Quote:
Originally Posted by oldschool_vegas
Lots of conflicting advice about post flop, but we can all agree to bet more preflop. I started betting $20 tonight at the same 1/2 room and was still getting 2-3 callers, uncommonly 4, and almost never 5
So I still think I should bet a hell of a lot on the flop. I'm mostly scared of flush draws and someone having K/J or Q/10. I believe TPTK is usually good right here and I would want to bet a lot to get them off the damn flop. I would have to eval turn if people come along with me. Any spade will make check, and 9 and A are also scary as heck.
I think betting for protection is the worst decision. Bet for value or as a bluff; not praying everyone whiffed and will fold if you bet large.
I think a case can be made value-betting but a six-way flop doesn't look good.
Assuming you give 5 villains a best-case weak pre-flop range; nobody limp-calls any respectable hands:
99-55,33-22,AJs-A2s,KJs-K2s,Q2s+,J3s+,T3s+,93s+,84s+,75s+,65s,AJo-A2o,KJo-K2o,Q2o+,J3o+,T4o+,95o+,85o+,75o+,65o
According to PokerStove you're going to win this pot 44.85% of the time; most of the time you'll lose. Head's up with J2o you'd have 66.58% equity; with A8o you'd have 62.67% equity; with AQo you'd have 57.4% equity.